TL;DR
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Bitcoin’s latest outflows from exchanges and different important components help the case for a push towards a brand new all-time excessive.
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Nonetheless, the rising RSI suggests the asset could also be overbought and weak to a short-term pullback.
New Peak on the Approach?
The value of the main cryptocurrency has been booming currently, briefly climbing above $104,000 earlier in the present day (Could 9). As of this writing, bitcoin (BTC) is value roughly $103,000, which represents a 33% month-to-month improve.
The asset’s spectacular rally sparked enormous enthusiasm on crypto X, with a number of customers predicting that an upswing towards a brand new all-time excessive is only a matter of time. Some vital components help the bullish thesis.
An instance is BTC’s trade netflow, which has been predominantly adverse on most days up to now week or so. This signifies a shift from centralized buying and selling platforms towards self-custody strategies and lowered promoting strain.
The curiosity in BTC can be value mentioning. Over the previous few weeks, Google searches with the phrase ‘bitcoin’ have been on the rise, signaling elevated consideration from traders, particularly retail.
As CryptoPotato reported earlier in the present day (Could 9), Bitcoin’s community noticed nearly 350,000 newly created wallets in a single day, signaling a FOMO impact. On some events up to now, the large inflow of retail traders has been a precursor of cycle tops. Though the present retail numbers are increased now than within the final a number of weeks, they’re nonetheless removed from what may very well be described because the bull run prime.
Final however not least, we’ll concentrate on the upcoming assembly between US and Chinese language officers scheduled for this weekend. The 2 sides will supposedly talk about de-escalation of the continuing commerce warfare. Just lately, American President Donald Trump hinted that the tariffs imposed on China could be lower within the close to future.
Eased stress between the 2 largest economies on the planet may positively impression the monetary and crypto markets since it might cut back uncertainty and would possibly enhance investor confidence.
Greed Is Right here, However Watch Out
BTC’s latest bull run appears to have affected traders’ sentiment. At this time, the standard Concern & Greed Index surged to “greed” territory of 73, a stage final noticed in January this yr.
The metric tracks quite a few segments, reminiscent of value volatility, social media feedback, and surveys, to find out the momentary investor emotions towards BTC.
The predominantly bullish sentiment would possibly sound encouraging, however one ought to bear in mind Warren Buffett’s recommendation, who as soon as urged individuals “to be fearful when others are grasping and to be grasping solely when others are fearful.”
The Relative Power Index (RSI) is one other indicator value monitoring. The momentum oscillator measures the velocity and magnitude of the newest value modifications and varies from 0 to 100. It helps merchants spot potential development reversals, as readings above 70 sometimes sign that the asset may very well be overbought and headed for a pullback. Presently, the ratio stands at nearly 75.
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