Arthur Hayes didn’t pull punches in Dubai. At TOKEN2049, the ex-BitMEX chief laid out a straight-shot prediction: Bitcoin at $250K by the top of 2025.
WTF Arthur?! You good bruh?
Possibly it’s been Arthur who has been a /biz/ and Reddit mod all these years, attempting to hype our bags.
Arthur says we’ll see a run-up due to a cocktail of Fed backpedaling, liquidity overflow, and world financial instability—all of which, Hayes says, will mild a hearth underneath crypto’s subsequent bull run.
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Arthur Hayes: The Federal Reserve and Bitcoin’s Vibrant Future
Hayes’ $250K name hinges on a well-known lever: the Fed turning the QE faucets again on.
If bond-buying resumes to cushion markets, liquidity floods the system—and in Hayes’ view, Bitcoin feeds straight off that stream.
“Bitcoin trades solely primarily based available on the market expectation for the longer term provide of fiat,” he stated, spelling it out with out apology.
(Medium)
Hayes additionally pointed to latest coverage changes, such because the Fed decreasing its Treasury runoff cap, as preliminary steps signaling a shift towards easing.
“If my evaluation of the Fed’s main pivot from QT to QE for treasuries is right, then Bitcoin hit a neighborhood low of $76,500 final month, and now we start the ascent to $250,000 by year-end,” he added.
Treasury Buybacks and Hidden Liquidity
QE isn’t the one liquidity lever, Hayes warned. Treasury buybacks—swapping recent debt for previous, stale bonds—are again in style as nicely.
It’s liquidity injection with out the political baggage of “stimulus.” Hayes known as it a stealth transfer that quietly props up danger property like Bitcoin by conserving hedge funds flush.
Add to that the rising U.S. deficit, slumping tax income, and political gridlock—and the stress to maintain markets greased is barely mounting.
(Medium)
Hayes pointed to April 2, when Trump’s tariff bluster pushed the MOVE Index to 172—ranges that compelled intervention in 2022. The message is that we’ve been right here earlier than, and the response might look eerily acquainted.
Arthur Hayes Daring Predictions for 2025
Hayes’ forecast of $250,000 for Bitcoin hinges on this macroeconomic backdrop of liquidity injections and financial coverage shifts. He has intently noticed Bitcoin’s previous reactions to related circumstances and is assured of its upside potential.
Past Bitcoin, Hayes is optimistic about Ethereum and different main cryptocurrencies benefiting from elevated capital influx.
“Now could be the time to build up Bitcoin, Ethereum, and different crypto property,” he advised audiences at TOKEN2049, urging daring motion in a local weather ripe for progress.
Ending his speech, Hayes left audiences with a transparent directive: “Take out your telephones and purchase Bitcoin. You possibly can change into wealthy.”
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Key Takeaways
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Arthur Hayes didn’t pull punches in Dubai. At TOKEN2049, the ex-BitMEX chief laid out a straight-shot prediction: Bitcoin at $250K by the top of 2025. -
Hayes pointed to April 2, when Trump’s tariff bluster pushed the MOVE Index to 172—ranges that compelled intervention in 2022
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