Canada election live: Polls open for crucial vote after Trump and his trade war dominate campaign

Mark Carney has acknowledged that Canadians “determine what occurs” in Canada regardless of “the disaster in the USA”, as he launched a video on election day.

The present Canadian prime minister posted the quick clip to X right this moment, exhibiting footage of Donald Trump and of stories studies on the 25 per cent tariffs the US president slapped on Canada.

Mr Carney says within the video: “I do know individuals are anxious proper now. The disaster in the USA doesn’t cease at their borders.

“They will develop into divided and weak. However that is Canada and we determined what occurs right here. Let’s select to be united and powerful – Canada sturdy.”

Donald Trump has weighed in on the Canadian election as his commerce battle looms giant over voting.

The US president reiterated his requires Canada to develop into America’s “51st state”, promising to take away all tariffs in such an occasion after he slapped 25 per cent levies on the nation.

In a submit on Fact Social right this moment, Mr Trump mentioned: “Good luck to the nice individuals of Canada.

“Elect the person who has the power and knowledge to chop your taxes in half, improve your army energy, totally free, to the very best stage on the earth, have your automotive, metal, aluminum, lumber, power, and all different companies, quadruple in measurement, with zero tariffs or taxes, if Canada turns into the cherished 51st state of the USA of America.

“No extra artificially drawn line from a few years in the past. Look how lovely this land mass can be. Free entry with no border. All positives with no negatives. It was meant to be!

“America can not subsidise Canada with the tons of of billions of {dollars} a yr that we have now been spending previously. It is unnecessary except Canada is a state!”

Pierre Poilievre, the chief of the Conservatives, has hit out at Trump within the wake of his newest name for Canada to develop into a part of the US:

“President Trump, keep out of our election. The one individuals who will determine the way forward for Canada are Canadians on the poll field,” Mr Poilievre wrote on X.

“Canada will all the time be proud, sovereign and impartial and we are going to NEVER be the 51st state,” he added.

“Immediately Canadians can vote for change so we will strengthen our nation, stand on our personal two ft and stand as much as America from a place of power.”

A report variety of individuals voted early this election – 7.3 million. Within the final election in 2021, 5.8 million Canadians voted early. There have been greater than 17 million votes in complete in that 2021 election. A turnout of 62.6 per cent.

Mark Carney’s Liberal Social gathering held a 2.7-point lead over Poilievre’s Conservatives in nationwide assist, in accordance with a CTV Information-Globe and Mail-Nanos ballot launched on Sunday. Nanos pegged the Liberals at 42.6 per cent assist and the Conservatives at 39.9 per cent, within the ballot.

An EKOS ballot on Sunday advised the Liberals maintain a six-point lead, and projected the Liberals to win a majority of seats within the 343-seat Home of Commons and never must depend on a smaller social gathering to manipulate.

Listed below are some pictures from the vote throughout the nation:

Edmonton Southeast, Alberta

The Liberals have historically fared poorly within the western oil-producing province of Alberta, because of former Liberal Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau, who launched unpopular power insurance policies within the Eighties. A few of this enmity rubbed off on his son, former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who at finest solely gained a handful of Alberta seats. Now that Justin Trudeau is gone, the Liberals have an opportunity to restore their repute. Ex-Liberal cupboard minister Amarjeet Sohi is working within the new using of Edmonton Southeast, and if he wins, it will likely be an indication the social gathering can succeed even in hostile territory.

Cumberland-Colchester, Nova Scotia

The 4 provinces in Atlantic Canada, which include a complete of 32 seats and report their outcomes first, typically supply an early indication as to how the election may go. The area is politically risky and outcomes can swing broadly. The Liberals gained Cumberland-Colchester by a number of hundred votes in 2019 however misplaced it to the Conservatives in 2021.

2021 election consequence: Conservatives 46 per cent; Liberals 34.2 per cent; NDP 12.3 per cent

This Ontario using southwest of Toronto is the final word in Canadian bellwethers, having elected a legislator from the successful social gathering for 12 consecutive elections going again to 1984.

2021 election consequence: Liberals 45.7 per cent; Conservatives 37.3 per cent; NDP 10.9 per cent

Forward of the election, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals have been forward of Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives in nationwide opinion polls. The New Democratic Social gathering (NDP) led by Jagmeet Singh was in a distant third place, whereas the separatist Bloc Quebecois, which solely campaigns within the predominantly French-speaking province of Quebec, was in fourth.

In a detailed race, votes in a number of electoral districts, known as ridings in Canada, might make all of the distinction in who’s prime minister.

Edmonton Southeast, Alberta

The Liberals have historically fared poorly within the western oil-producing province of Alberta, because of former Liberal Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau, who launched unpopular power insurance policies within the Eighties. A few of this enmity rubbed off on his son, former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who at finest solely gained a handful of Alberta seats. Now that Justin Trudeau is gone, the Liberals have an opportunity to restore their repute. Ex-Liberal cupboard minister Amarjeet Sohi is working within the new using of Edmonton Southeast, and if he wins, it will likely be an indication the social gathering can succeed even in hostile territory.

Cumberland-Colchester, Nova Scotia

The 4 provinces in Atlantic Canada, which include a complete of 32 seats and report their outcomes first, typically supply an early indication as to how the election may go. The area is politically risky and outcomes can swing broadly. The Liberals gained Cumberland-Colchester by a number of hundred votes in 2019 however misplaced it to the Conservatives in 2021.

2021 election consequence: Conservatives 46 per cent; Liberals 34.2 per cent; NDP 12.3 per cent

This Ontario using southwest of Toronto is the final word in Canadian bellwethers, having elected a legislator from the successful social gathering for 12 consecutive elections going again to 1984.

2021 election consequence: Liberals 45.7 per cent; Conservatives 37.3 per cent; NDP 10.9 per cent

Forward of the election, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals have been forward of Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives in nationwide opinion polls. The New Democratic Social gathering (NDP) led by Jagmeet Singh was in a distant third place, whereas the separatist Bloc Quebecois, which solely campaigns within the predominantly French-speaking province of Quebec, was in fourth.

In a detailed race, votes in a number of electoral districts, known as ridings in Canada, might make all of the distinction in who’s prime minister.

Burnaby Central, British Columbia

The consequence right here might assist present whether or not the left-leaning New Democrats, who compete with the Liberals for the center-left vote, have a future. Burnaby Central is a brand new using, changing Burnaby South. This was held by the NDP chief Mr Singh, who stored former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s minority Liberal authorities in energy for greater than two years in return for extra social spending.

Mr Singh, who’s the NDP candidate, says Canadians benefited as a result of on account of the deal, Liberals handed laws rising entry to healthcare. However polls counsel he’s working third within the new using as left-leaning voters coalesce behind the Liberals.

2021 election lead to Burnaby South: NDP 40.3 per cent; Liberal 30.4 per cent; Conservatives 22.4 per cent

Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill, Ontario

Key to any victory is the so-called Golden Horseshoe, a riding-rich crescent that sits on Lake Ontario and consists of Toronto in addition to different cities. The Conservatives held Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill from 2018 to 2021. If they’re to benefit from unhappiness over residing prices, immigration and a housing disaster – components that dominated politics earlier than President Donald Trump started threatening tariffs and annexation – the using is a key goal.

2021 election consequence: Liberal 45.2 per cent; Conservatives 42.1 per cent

Any social gathering wishing to win energy should additionally carry out effectively in Quebec, which has the second-largest variety of seats within the Home of Commons. It’s the solely province with its personal social gathering, the Bloc, which is in search of independence for the province and whose fortunes can swing wildly. Trois-Rivieres is one among a number of in Quebec the place three (and generally 4 events) contend for the vote. The 2021 consequence was tight, with the Bloc successful by simply 83 votes of the 58,110 that have been solid.

2021 election consequence: Bloc Quebecois 29.5 per cent; Conservative 29.4 per cent; Liberal 28.6 per cent

Beneath are the principle priorities of Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Social gathering in the event that they win the election:

The Conservatives are proposing a deal wherein Canada and the U.S. concurrently drop their tariffs and counter-tariffs. Social gathering chief Pierre Poilievre additionally would suggest an early renegotiation of the USMCA forward of a deliberate evaluate in 2026.

Arrange a speedy useful resource undertaking workplace to deal with all regulatory approvals throughout all ranges of presidency. Create a nationwide power hall to fast-track approvals for transmission strains, railways, pipelines, and different crucial infrastructure. Approve 10 pure assets tasks which were caught for years within the federal approval course of. Scrap electric-vehicle gross sales mandates.

Remove the federal gross sales tax on new houses beneath $1.3 million, which is able to save residence consumers as much as C$65,000. Incentivize municipalities to chop constructing taxes, for complete financial savings of C$100,000 on a mean residence in Canada’s massive cities.

Double the variety of Canadian Rangers within the Arctic, construct three northern army bases, and purchase two extra polar icebreakers for the Royal Canadian Navy.