Some city seats in Manitoba may see tight races as voting wraps up Monday for the federal election.
Political analyst Christopher Adams from the College of Manitoba says a couple of months in the past, polls recommended quite a lot of Liberal-held seats in Winnipeg had been set to modify to Conservative.
However with the NDP falling in opinion polls and the Liberals rising, the idea in lots of areas has modified.
Adams says that additionally means incumbent New Democrats, similar to Leah Gazan in Winnipeg Centre and Niki Ashton in northern Manitoba, are prone to discover themselves in tight battles.
One using many will probably be watching is Winnipeg South, referred to as a bellwether seat.
It has elected a member of the governing social gathering in each election since 1988.
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Incumbent Terry Duguid, a Liberal cupboard minister, has held the seat since 2015. He’s going through former provincial cupboard minister Janice Morley-Lecomte with the Conservatives and Joanne Bjornson with the NDP.
“As I’ve typically mentioned, as Winnipeg South goes, so goes the nation,” mentioned Adams, an adjunct professor of political research.
Another races will probably be rematches.
Leila Dance received the Elmwood-Transcona seat for the NDP in a byelection final September. Conservative Colin Reynolds, who misplaced by 1,100 votes, is working once more. Ian MacIntyre is the Liberal candidate.
In Winnipeg West, Conservative incumbent Marty Morantz once more faces Liberal Doug Eyolfson. Morantz received by lower than 500 votes in 2021. Avery Selby-Lyons is working for the NDP.
Adams mentioned low NDP polling numbers nationally may pose a menace to Ashton, who has represented the northern using of Churchill-Keewatinook Aski since 2008. She is up in opposition to Rebecca Chartrand for the Liberals, who completed an in depth second in 2015.
“The Liberals have a reasonably outstanding candidate … she has a shot at successful that,” Adams mentioned.
Additionally working within the using this time is Lachlan De Nardi for the Conservatives.
One Winnipeg seat the place there’s assured to be a brand new face is St. Boniface-St. Important. Former Liberal cupboard minister Dan Vandal just isn’t looking for re-election, and the seat has been held by each Liberals and Conservatives in current many years.
Not working once more is Conservative Larry Maguire in Brandon-Souris. The seat is, like different ridings in rural southern Manitoba, a longtime Conservative stronghold.
© 2025 The Canadian Press
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