The Liberals are projected to win Monday night time’s federal election, however in Manitoba — particularly outdoors Winnipeg — not a lot seems to have modified as outcomes proceed to roll in.
5 of the six ridings in rural Manitoba got here into the election having been represented by Conservative candidates, with solely Churchill—Keewatinook Aski, overlaying an enormous part of the province’s far north, represented by the NDP.
Rural leads to 2025 performed out largely the identical as they did in 2021, with Tory dominance in 5 ridings.
Portage-Lisgar stayed blue, with incumbent Branden Leslie persevering with 20-plus years of Conservative illustration. Longtime MP Ted Falk is again in Provencher, a seat he’s held since 2013. Dan Mazier is again in Using Mountain, and James Bezan will return for a fourth time period in Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman.
One notable distinction is the election of Conservative Grant Jackson in Brandon-Souris, changing longtime MP and former MLA Larry Maguire, who bowed out of the race because of well being issues. Jackson defeated Liberal Ghazanfar Ali Tarar and Quentin Robinson of the NDP by a large margin.
In Churchill—Keewatinook Aski, Niki Ashton misplaced the seat she’s held since 2008, which flipped to Liberal Rebecca Chartrand.

In Winnipeg, the panorama was barely extra various coming into Monday night time.

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In 2021, two Conservative candidates have been elected, together with 4 Liberals and two members of the NDP.
A variety of modifications have taken place previous to the 2025 election, together with the departure of Elmwood-Transcona MP Daniel Blaikie (NDP), who left his place in March 2024 for a provincial position. He was succeeded in a by-election final September by the NDP’s Leila Dance — as of 12:15 a.m. on Tuesday, Dance was trailing behind Conservative candidate Colin Reynolds.
“Clearly (the outcomes) weren’t what we have been hoping for,” Dance mentioned. “We have been hoping for victory, however issues simply didn’t go our approach right this moment — that occurs.”
Longtime Liberal MP and former cupboard minister Dan Vandal additionally stepped down from his St. Boniface-St.Very important seat previous to the election, leaving the sector open for Ginette Lavack to carry on to the seat for the get together Monday.
Winnipeg Centre noticed NDP incumbent Leah Gazan and Liberal Rahul Walia in a good race for the longtime orange stronghold. Gazan confronted heavy competitors in an election that trended down for the NDP throughout the nation. Gazan was forward of her Liberal challenger as of early Tuesday.

Winnipeg South, a driving additionally seen as a bellwether, Liberal incumbent Terry Duguid — minister of atmosphere and local weather change in Mark Carney’s cupboard — has gained his seat over rivals Janice Morley-Lecomte of the Conservatives and the NDP’s Joanne Bjornson.
Duguid mentioned Monday that he’s wanting ahead to a authorities led by Prime Minister Mark Carney.
“Prime Minister Carney has the abilities, the expertise and the calm resolve which are wanted to take us via these extraordinary instances,” he mentioned, “these instances of disaster.”
Within the hotly-contested Winnipeg West driving — previously often known as Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley — Conservative incumbent Marty Morantz, a former metropolis councillor, was defeated by Liberal challenger Doug Eyolfson. Eyolfson was mounting a comeback marketing campaign after serving because the driving’s MP from 2015-2019.
Two extra Liberal re-elections, in Winnipeg North and Winnipeg South Centre, will see the return of Kevin Lamoureux and Ben Carr, respectively.
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