As Ontario Premier Doug Ford heads to Washington, D.C. for a gathering on the White Home, his risk to tariff or reduce off U.S. power stays on the desk and will return after the high-stakes date.
Ford and his group are set to fly out and in of the U.S. capital on Thursday for a gathering with President Donald Trump’s commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick. The results of these talks may calm or reignite commerce tensions.
The assembly comes after a whirlwind week through which Ontario levelled a 25 per cent surcharge on the power it exports to the U.S. earlier than Trump responded on Tuesday by threatening his personal 50 per cent tariff on metal and aluminum.
His group known as Ford’s risk to chop off energy “egregious and insulting” and promised to batter Canada with financial retaliation.
Hours later, Lutnick had known as Ford and invited him to the White Home for a gathering the premier described as an “olive department.” Ford then paused his power surcharge to facilitate the assembly and Trump lowered his 50 per cent tariff to the 25 per cent price he’s making use of to the remainder of the world.
Since then, the president has oscillated between calling Ford a “robust man” and describing the surcharge as Ontario’s “little risk.” Lutnick additionally publicly claimed Ford “is aware of he made a mistake and he withdrew it.”
One senior Ontario authorities supply talking on background to debate the assembly acknowledged to International Information that Ford was “taking an opportunity” pausing the surcharge and sitting down with Lutnick at a unstable White Home.
They stated it was well worth the threat to see if financial sanctions on Canada, lots of which threaten Ontario industries like automakers, could possibly be eliminated.
Ford stated on Tuesday that the “worst factor” he may do was flip down the invitation to a gathering and the federal government supply identified that if the assembly results in nothing, Ontario will simply be again to the place it was initially of the week.
They underscored, nevertheless, that the power surcharge and risk to chop energy altogether stay on the desk relying on how the assembly progresses.

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The supply stated if Ford’s group left the assembly feeling there was a path to exempt Canada from metal and aluminum tariffs and to work collectively on a more in-depth commerce relationship, the power surcharge pause would possible stay in place.
If the assembly doesn’t go nicely, Ford may determine to place it again in place, they stated.
“We received’t be pushed round,” the supply stated, referring to Thursday’s White Home assembly.
Ontario Premier Doug Ford wears a pin with the U.S. and Canadian flags as he speaks with reporters after an occasion with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, in Washington.
(AP Picture/Mark Schiefelbein).
How does Ontario’s power surcharge work?
If Ontario reintroduces the 25 per cent surcharge it levied on the power it sells to Michigan, Minnesota and New York, it might have to order the Impartial Electrical energy System Operator to as soon as once more add the price.
The cost would increase a median of $400,000 per day, the federal government stated. Any cash the levy raises can be spent on Ontario households and companies, the province has stated, though it’s nonetheless figuring out how that might be achieved.
A supply with the Ministry of Power stated civil servants and political workers had been nonetheless figuring out if laws can be required to spend any cash raised by means of the cost. The supply was granted anonymity to clarify ongoing coverage issues.
They stated the query of how the power funds could possibly be spent is just not pressing as a result of the surcharge would solely be collected month-to-month when the IESO settles the market. The subsequent date that is because of happen is mid-April.
The way in which Ontario’s electrical grid is managed means the 25 per cent surcharge can be added by whichever group or firm operates a person energy station. They’d add the additional price when promoting power into the US and maintain it till the month-to-month settlements.
When IESO completes its last common calculations it might then take the surcharge raised by numerous energy mills and maintain it in an account. The cash may keep there till the Ford authorities works out the place will probably be spent — and if it must move laws to be able to transfer it round.

Ontario may additionally nonetheless reduce energy to the U.S. altogether.
Ending the facility Ontario sells to the US would require the province to scale back its personal power era to keep away from inflicting points inside its personal grid. Electrical energy generated as soon as it enters the system has to go someplace and can’t merely be wasted.
{The electrical} grid operates equally to a community of pipes full of water. If water enters the system and doesn’t have an outlet to spill into, it may possibly explode. Within the case of power, not having someplace to go may trigger overheating and, within the worst case, blackouts.
Subsequently, if Ontario decides to chop off the U.S., it might have to ramp down its personal power manufacturing.
In that case, Ontario would flip off its pure fuel producing stations first, the Ministry of Power supply stated. Subsequent, it might decrease its hydroelectric era by lowering the quantity of water flowing to producing generators.
Wind generators can be disconnected in occasions of extraordinarily low demand, the supply stated.
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